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Friday, October 28, 2005

Spoiling for a fight?

The sentiment was not surprising but the vehemence and the timimg was incredible. Does Iran really want to fight the rest of the western world? With the single act of uttering his repugnant views, the Iranian President has brought condemnation down from all quarters, at a time when one might think he would be trying to cultivate 'allies' in his efforts to progress with a nuclear programme.

Europe has been turning blind eye, after blind eye to Iran and has carefully overlooked heinous opinions (policies really), such as the refusal to recognise Israel, all in the name of politics and diplomacy. But now, even what some call 'old Europe' have been pushed into condeming Iran for the inciteful words of its president.

In yet another case I feel obliged to agree with the malignant TB:

"Can you imagine a state like that with an attitude like that having a nuclear weapon?" he asked rhetorically.

So why now?

Perhaps it is because it sees the US overcommitted to Iraq. Iran feels somewhat confident that the US cannot impose any martial policy due to being bogged down with Iran's old enemy. Perhaps they draw comfort from the view that America can be contained in this manner. Are they right? I don't know, but they seem to feel confident. Britain is in no place to react in any way but across diplomatic channels since the current government (and its predecessor) has gutted our armed forces.

We know that Russia and China would not back military action anyway. They are too reliant on Iranian energy - the driving force for most political alliances in the middle east.

So, will there be war? No. Lots more talk and Iran probably knows this and it is why its President will continue to make statements such as it does. Until the day before it gets the bomb and Tel Aviv nukes Tehran.

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